Review the latest Weekly Headings by CIO Larry Adam.
Today marks 100 days since President Biden was sworn into office, a time often referred to as the ‘honeymoon period’ for a new president’s tenure. It is typically when a new president has the most political capital to tackle his greatest priorities. President Biden assumed the presidency at a critical juncture in our nation’s fight against the COVID-19 pandemic and in the economic recovery process, and his two goals of turning the corner on the virus and achieving broad-based economic prosperity are not mutually exclusive. We will leave the grading of his initial actions toward his campaign promises to the media outlets, and instead evaluate the economic progress and equity market performance seen thus far versus prior presidents, and provide our outlook as to whether the current trajectory of the economy and equity market will shift during this ‘post-honeymoon’ stage we are entering.
The Bottom Line | We remain optimistic on US equities longer term based on strong economic and earnings trends. However, the next few months could be accompanied by the traditional volatility spike as the president’s honeymoon period comes to a close.
All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of Raymond James & Associates, Inc., and are subject to change. Information has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but we do not guarantee that the material presented is accurate or that it provides a complete description of the securities, markets or developments mentioned. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or that any of the forecasts mentioned will occur. Economic and market conditions are subject to change. Investing involves risk including the possible loss of capital. International investing involves additional risks such as currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic instability. These risks are greater in emerging markets. Companies engaged in business related to a specific sector are subject to fierce competition and their products and services may be subject to rapid obsolescence. Past performance may not be indicative of future results.